Tropical Storm Dorian heads toward Puerto Rico

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Puerto Rico braces for Tropical Storm Dorian amid threat of life-threatening floods

Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic are under states of emergency as Tropical Storm Dorian makes its way through the Caribbean. Forecasters warn heavy rain could cause life-threatening flooding.

Dorian hit Martinique Tuesday, washing out roads on the island.

As of 2 a.m. EDT, Dorian was packing 60 mph sustained winds. Its center was some 240 miles east-southeast of Ponce, Puerto Rico and it was moving northwest at 13 mph, the National Hurricane Center said. Tropical-storm-force winds extended outward up to 45 miles from the center.

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Forecasters said Dorian’s center will pass over or near Puerto Rico and the U.S. and British Virgin Islands later Wednesday.

Tropical storm conditions are expected and hurricane conditions possible in Puerto Rico later Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the U.S. and British Virgin Islands later Wednesday and possible in portions of the Dominican Republic Wednesday night and Thursday.

Dorian is on track to hit the Bahamas and Florida.

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Tropical Storm Dorian as of 2 a.m. EFT on August 28, 2019 National Hurricane Center

Depression grows into Tropical Storm Erin

A tropical depression off the southeast U.S. coast has strengthened into a tropical storm, dubbed Erin by forecasters.

As of 11 p.m. EDT Tuesday, Erin’s center was approximately 430 miles west of Bermuda and 300 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina and crawling west at 2 mph with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph, the National Hurricane Center reported.

It’s expected to move north and northeast out over the open Atlantic.

Tropical-storm-force winds extended up to 105 miles from Erin’s center.

“Some slight strengthening is possible over the next day or so, but then it should begin to transition to an extratropical cyclone Thursday through Thursday night,” the hurricane center said.

Power won’t be cut on Puerto Rico ahead of Dorian

CBS News correspondent David Begnaud reports Puerto Rico’s power grid will not be interrupted ahead of Tropical Storm Dorian. He speaks to the U.S. territory’s power utility CEO in the video below:

President Trump approves Puerto Rico emergency declaration

The White House announced late Tuesday that President Trump has approved an emergency declaration for Puerto Rico, allowing federal assistance to help local response efforts stemming from Tropical Storm Dorian.

The office of the press secretary released the following statement:

Today, President Donald J. Trump declared that an emergency exists in the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico and ordered Federal assistance to supplement commonwealth and local response efforts due to the emergency conditions resulting from Tropical Storm Dorian beginning on August 26, 2019, and continuing.

The President’s action authorizes the Department of Homeland Security, Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), to coordinate all disaster relief efforts which have the purpose of alleviating the hardship and suffering caused by the emergency on the local population, and to provide appropriate assistance for required emergency measures, authorized under Title V of the Stafford Act, to save lives and to protect property and public health and safety, and to lessen or avert the threat of a catastrophe in all 78 municipalities in the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico.

Specifically, FEMA is authorized to identify, mobilize, and provide at its discretion, equipment and resources necessary to alleviate the impacts of the emergency. Emergency protective measures, limited to direct federal assistance, will be provided at 75 percent Federal funding.

Puerto Rico to face tropical storm force winds

Tropical Storm Dorian has made a last-minute shift in its path Tuesday, threatening Puerto Rico with a direct hit as forecasters said it could reach near-hurricane strength in its approach to the U.S. territory. The storm is forecast to pass over or hit near western and central Puerto Rico on Wednesday as authorities warned of landslides, widespread flooding and power outages.

“Practically the entire island will be under sustained tropical storm force winds,” said Roberto García, director of U.S. National Weather Service San Juan, during a press conference late Tuesday.

However, García said the forecast could change overnight, adding that late shifts occur with storms such as Dorian that do not have a well-defined center.

The Associated Press

​Puerto Rico residents still on edge after Maria

Puerto Rico residents are still dealing with post traumatic stress from Hurricane Maria, which ravaged the island two years ago. Ahead of Dorian, some people are leaving. “I’m so insecure here with the power, the food, the security — so I’m leaving,” one person told CBS News.

Those who are staying and preparing are wondering if the government is prepared, too. CBS News spoke with Nick Russo, who leads the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s effort in Puerto Rico.

“The biggest problem last was when they lost the power they lost water. So one of the biggest things we’re preparing for is the support of PREPA (Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority) if we have a power outage. Right now, we don’t know,” Russo said.

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Puerto Rico residents buying supplies before the storm. CBS News

Before Hurricane Maria, the island had $21 million of inventory to replace downed power lines and restore electricity. The governor now said they have $141 million. But 30,000 homes are still covered in tarp and 1,000 roads remain impassable.

“We spent the last two years learning some lessons and making sure we’re much better prepared,” Russo said.

— David Begnaud reporting from San Juan, Puerto Rico

Florida search and rescue team heading to Puerto Rico

Miami-Dade Fire Rescue is sending a 45-member team Puerto Rico before the storm reaches the island. The team is traveling to San Juan on Tuesday and will be on standby for rescue operations.

Andy Alvarez of Miami Dade Fire Rescue said the team should have an advantage because they spent time on the island after Hurricane Maria hit in 2017. “We know the terrain, we know the main streets, thoroughfares to get around because we used them already, we have the contacts for the fuel,” he told CBS Miami.

Tracking Tropical Storm Dorian

Florida governor urges residents to prepare

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is urging residents to prepare before heavy rain hits the state. Local meteorologists are predicting 6-8 inches of rain in several areas this weekend as the storm approaches the Florida coast.

“Based on the current track of [Dorian], all residents on the East Coast should prepare for impacts, including strong winds, heavy rain and flooding,” DeSantis tweeted Tuesday.

“Make sure to have your supplies ready and follow @FLSERT and local media for the latest updates on the forecast,” he added.

Watches and warnings in effect

A summary of watches and warnings in effect, via the National Hurricane Center.

  • Hurricane watch: Puerto Rico
  • Tropical storm warnings: Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra, U.S. Virgin Islands, British Virgin Islands, Dominican Republic from Isla Saona to Samana
  • Tropical storm watch: Dominican Republic from Samana to Puerto Plata

A critical moment for Dorian

The future of Dorian largely hinges on one key factor called the Mona Passage. This 80-mile wide ocean corridor, which sits between the islands of Hispañiola and Puerto Rico, will determine if Dorian dissipates or perseveres. The storm is now located in the Caribbean, a small storm surrounded by a hostile environment of abundant dry air.

Regardless of impact, Wednesday night is a critical moment for the future of Dorian and its eventual impact on Florida. At that time, the core of Dorian will either move over Puerto Rico, over the Dominican Republic, or in between the two, through the narrow waters of the Mona Passage.

If the core of Dorian moves slightly west of there, over the center of Haiti and the Dominican Republic, it will encounter towering mountainous terrain with elevations over 5,000 feet. That would destroy the storm’s structure and circulation, crippling the system as it enters the Bahamas. It would have a hard time putting the pieces back together and strengthening before its arrival this weekend in Florida.

However, if Dorian’s core threads the needle between the islands and passes over, or near, the narrow Mona Passage, then the storm’s core and circulation will remain structurally sound. In this scenario, the storm would be able to take advantage of the very warm water north of Puerto Rico, in the Turks & Caicos Islands and Bahamas, to potentially re-intensify.

A track over the island of Puerto Rico, to the east of the consensus forecast, would yield a scenario somewhere in the middle, where Dorians’ core would be weakened but not incapacitated.

— Jeff Berardelli

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