Here are the most important things to know about Tuesday before you hit the door.
1. Recession or not?
We’ll get two decent-sized reports on the economy on Tuesday, which will give investors a good idea of whether there’s a recession coming or not. A better-than-feared reading on the manufacturing economy on Monday soothed investors recession concerns a bit. More readings in the right direction could put to bed the recession fears that knocked the market last month and finally allow stocks to break out to record highs.
The S&P/Case-Shiller’s home price index is up first and then later in the morning, the Conference Board’s consumer confidence survey. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect home prices nationally rose 3.1% year-over-year, but that consumer confidence eased a bit this month to 132.7 from 135.1 in August.
2. Nike earnings
The shoe giant will report after the bell Tuesday earnings of 71 cents a share for the last quarter, up 6.9% from a year earlier, according to UBS. The firm said a stronger dollar is weighing down Nike’s overseas sales and so the company is likely to keep its full year fiscal 2020 earnings guidance the same.
Nike shares are up 18% this year, but have been in a holding pattern since March.
Nike will need to raise its forecast and cite an increase in sales to really get the share price moving again, claims UBS.
“Without Street EPS estimates increasing, we doubt Nike’s near-peak 30x P/E can move much higher,” wrote Jay Sole, UBS retail analyst in a recent note.
