Russia has major challenges ahead in terms of improving its competitiveness on the world stage, but its current and former officials remain positive despite mounting Western sanctions.
Russian Railways chairman and former Deputy Prime Minister Arkady Dvorkovich, speaking to CNBC at the Ambrosetti Forum in Cernobbio, Italy on Friday, admitted the slow pace of progress in the country of 144 million.
“I think we’re far from where we want be … A long way to go, but we are getting more competitive with time,” he said, emphasizing the country’s plans to strengthen foreign partnerships and increase public and private investment into education and innovation.
Economic growth in Russia hovers around 2 percent annually, a pickup from the 0.7 percent average of the last 10 years but a far cry from the 6.9 percent average of the decade before that and still a way from the current world average of around 3.5 percent. Its longstanding reliance on raw materials revenues, observers say, has hindered the modernization of its economy and looks set to continue to do so, despite President Vladimir Putin’s pledge to bring growth to 4 percent.
For the past decade, Russian leaders have talked about diversifying the economy, but critics say that efforts so far have been lacking. Asked if he felt his government had failed, Dvorkovich was more forgiving.
“I think we did a good job, but maybe a bit slower than we could,” he said. “And still we’re on the upward trend.”
The chairman described a series of difficult structural reforms underway, including controversial pension reforms, and a phase of “aggressive investment policy” — both public and private — aimed at 20 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), up from the current 17 to 18 percent.
“That’s a plus that should produce higher growth,” Dvorkovich said. “And innovation -— the combination of investments into education, science and technology — it’s quite a challenge but we are ready.”
In the face of current and likely future sanctions from the West, with some economists predicting recession for Russia as result, the scope of this challenge will be hard to understate.
