Rite Aid (RAD) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

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Rite Aid (NYSE: RAD) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference CallApril 12, 2018 8:30 a.m. ET

Contents:

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  • Prepared Remarks
  • Questions and Answers
  • Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Good morning. My name is Michelle, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Rite Aid Fourth-Quarter Fiscal 2018 Earnings Release. [Operator instructions] I would now like to turn the call over to Mr.

Matt Schroeder. Please go ahead.

Matt ShroederSenior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer and Treasurer

Thank you, Michelle, and good morning, everyone. We welcome you to our fourth-quarter earnings conference call. On the call with me today is John Standley, our chairman and chief executive officer; Kermit Crawford, our president and chief operating officer; and Darren Karst, our chief financial and chief administrative officer. On today’s call, John and Kermit will provide an update on the business, Darren will provide an update on our fourth-quarter results, and then we will take questions.As we mentioned in our release, we’re providing slides related to the material we will be discussing today.

These slides are provided on our website, www.riteaid.com, under the Investor Relations information tab. We will not be referring to them in our remarks. We hope you’ll find them helpful as they summarize some of the key points made on the call. Before we start, I’d like to remind you that today’s conference call includes certain forward-looking statements.

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These forward-looking statements are presented in the context of certain risk and uncertainties that can cause actual results to differ. These risks and uncertainties are described in our press release and Item 1A of our most recent annual report on Form 10-K and other documents that we file or furnish to the Securities and Exchange Commission. Also, we’ll be using certain non-GAAP measures in our release. The definition of these non-GAAP measures, along with the reconciliation to the related GAAP measure, are described in our press release.

Also included in our slides are the non-GAAP financial measures of adjusted EBITDA gross profit and adjusted EBITDA SG&A and the reconciliations of those measures to their specific GAAP measure. With these remarks, I’d now like to turn it over to John.

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Matt, and thanks to everyone for joining us on the call this morning. During the fourth quarter, we made significant progress in a number of areas. Our retail pharmacy segment delivered strong results, with an increase in adjusted EBITDA over the prior year. Our pharmacy services segment is off to a strong start in the new commercial selling season.

And shortly after the quarter ended, we completed our sale of the 1,932 stores to Walgreens. However, our most significant development was that we entered into a definitive merger agreement with Albertsons to create a truly differentiated leader in food, health, and wellness. We’re really excited about the merger. It makes sense for us strategically and financially.

The merger will transform Rite Aid by increasing geographic presence, adding new levers for growth and solidifying our financial strength. As a result, the merger has the potential to create compelling value for our customers and shareholders. Our board and management believe this merger is the best value-enhancing alternative available for the company and our shareholders. Before I get into more specifics about the merger, let me spend a few minutes talking about our fourth-quarter results.

Our fourth-quarter pro forma adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations was $173.2 million, compared to $180.8 million in the prior-year period. Pro forma adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations is a new metric that we are introducing today. It takes our adjusted EBITDA and adds fees we would have earned on the Walgreens TSA if all the stores sold to Walgreens were being supported under the TSA for the entire respective period and backs out results for the extra week in fiscal 2017. In terms of these results, a key highlight was the improvement of our retail pharmacy segment adjusted EBITDA compared to the prior year, which was due, in large part, to stronger gross margin and good expense control.

Adjusted EBITDA decreased in the pharmacy services segment, primarily due to a decline in commercial business and changes in the composition of our Medicare Part D membership. As I mentioned earlier, we are seeing early success in our commercial and health plan businesses this selling season. Fourth-quarter net loss from continuing operations was $483.7 million, compared to $25.1 million in the prior-year period. A key factor was a $325 million income tax expense relating to the revaluation of our deferred-tax assets in connection with the 2017 tax act.

Another key factor was a goodwill-impairment charge of $191 million, net of tax, to adjust the book value of our pharmacy services segment to the amount we paid for EnvisionRxOptions when we acquired it in 2015. Both of these items were noncash charges. Fourth-quarter adjusted net loss from continuing operations was $10.2 million, or $0.01 per diluted share, compared to adjusted net income of $0.02 per diluted share in last year’s fourth quarter. Darren will provide additional information regarding our financial performance in just a few moments.

Our team did a tremendous job of achieving stronger results in critical areas at a time when we were also transferring a majority of the 1,932 stores and related assets to Walgreens. As of March 27, we successfully completed the store transfer process in exchange for cash proceeds of nearly $4.2 billion. These put our organization in a much better financial position heading forward. For example, as of March 3, our debt from continuing operations, net of cash, was approximately $2.9 billion.

Overall, the transfer process went very well, and we are currently supporting these stores through the TSA. In addition, transfer of the three previously announced distribution centers and related inventory is expected to begin after September 1. As we’ve discussed on previous calls, the asset sale was a significant step in positioning Rite Aid to be a financially stronger organization with an even better network of stores in attractive positions in key markets. As we continue to focus on building momentum, we’re also highly focused on making the most of the transformational opportunity to accelerate our strategy through our merger with Albertsons.

As a whole, the combined company is expected to operate approximately 4,900 stores, including more than 4,300 pharmacies and over 300 health clinics, serving over 40 million customers a week and generating pro forma combined revenues at $83 billion. Adjusted pro forma EBITDA is expected to be approximately $3.7 billion, including full run-rate cost synergies. As previously announced, most of Albertsons grocery store pharmacies will be rebranded as Rite Aid, providing us with almost 1,800 additional pharmacy counters, along with access to new markets and a stronger presence in the markets where we currently operate. Through our combined store networks, EnvisionRxOptions and RediClinics, we can attract more high-value pharmacy customers, who are the most valuable customers in food retail.

The merger will also provide us new levers for growth, like the opportunity to leverage Albertsons expertise in food and consumables and their manufacturing capabilities to further transform the front end of our stores. We can use own-brand expertise of both companies to create a best-in-class portfolio that increases sales and improves margins. We can use our existing loyalty programs to leverage enhanced analytics that create stronger relationships with our customers. We can also create a world-class omnichannel platform that meets customers when, where, and how they want to shop through our various store formats, food and prescription delivery options, and online and mobile capabilities.

And finally, Rite Aid and Albertsons management have identified approximately $375 million in potential run-rate cost synergies that we believe can be realized by February 26, 2022, with associated one-time cost of approximately $400 million. Rite Aid and Albertsons management have also identified approximately $3.6 billion in potential annual revenue opportunities that we both believe can also be realized by February 26, 2022, with associated one-time cost of approximately $300 million. We recently took an important step toward completing the merger with the expiration of the waiting period under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Act. The merger remains subject to other customary closing conditions, including the approval of Rite Aid shareholders, and we will be setting a date and time for a special shareholder meeting in the coming months.

Subject to these approvals, we expect the merger to close in the early part of the second half of calendar 2018. We are also pleased to see the results that Albertsons released yesterday, which showed strong growth in comparable sales and adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter. As we look to make the most of this opportunity to form a powerful combination with Albertsons, we also have a lot of exciting developments under way to strengthen our business at Rite Aid. At this time, I’d like to turn it over to our president and COO, Kermit Crawford, for an update on key initiatives in our front end, pharmacy, and healthcare businesses.

Kermit?

Kermit CrawfordPresident and Chief Operating Officer

Thank you, John, and thanks to everyone for joining us today. As John said, in the fourth quarter, we delivered stronger performance in key areas of our business and made important progress in deploying our strategy for the new Rite Aid. One of our most powerful offerings is our wellness+ rewards program, which has been a game changer for our business since its first launch in 2010. Overall, with increased member card use and new member growth in our wellness+ rewards program, our robust customer database has helped us to make better decisions on pricing, product mix, and promotions based on the expectations of our best customers.

In January, we introduced BonusCash Rewards, a simplified new cardholder benefit that has replaced the issuance of Plenti cards and now a key driver in our recent promotional program. Customers have responded positively to this highly compelling value proposition, which has resulted in more engagement from our best customers. We continue to be focused on finding new ways to make this highly popular program even stronger. We have integrated sophisticated new tools and technology which incorporate machine learning and enables us to offer our customers multichannel, hyperpersonalized offers in addition to our weekly promotional program.

As we continue our evolution to include more one-on-one marketing, we will not only enhance our customer retention but also benefit our supplier partners by offering more targeted and efficient ways to reach engaged customers. We’re really excited about how our marketing mix is evolving and how these new enhancements to our wellness+ rewards program are helping us grow our business by both strategic and profitably moving forward, benefiting both our pharmacy and front-end businesses. At the same time, we also continue to see positive results from our wellness store format, as these stores continue to outperform the rest of the chain in terms of front-end, same-store sales and script count. In my 35 years of experience, these are the best-looking stores in our industry, and they now make up nearly two-thirds of our retail footprint.

We will continue converting additional stores to the wellness format while constantly challenging ourselves to drive innovation in these stores. Another key priority is growing our own private-label brand. In the fourth quarter, own-brand penetration for stores in our go-forward network increased by 6 basis points to 18.94% compared to the prior-year period, and we’re working aggressively to grow that number. As John alluded to, this is an area of our business that we’re really excited about in terms of a potential combination with Albertsons.

Food plays such a critical role in health and wellness, and we had a tremendous opportunity to leverage Albertsons’ food expertise in providing healthy choices that differentiate our offering, drive customer loyalty, and grow profitability in the front end. In the pharmacy, we continue to make progress on the key initiatives we discussed, including clinical programs like immunizations and medication adherence. We had an outstanding year with both flu shots and total immunization. In fiscal 2018, we set an all-time company record for total immunization with 4.4 million, and our go-forward stores administered more than 2.7 million of these vaccinations.

This is a big win for our team, and we continue to emphasize the value of the non-flu immunizations we offer, which protect against health conditions like shingles, pneumonia, and whooping cough. Our success with immunizations highlights the important role our pharmacists play beyond filling prescriptions. At Rite Aid, our primary objective in the pharmacy is to serve as the trusted advisor for our patients, like with personalized consultation, supporting medication education and adherence to help patients stay on track, managing and improving their health. To help achieve this goal, we remain highly focused on better leveraging enhanced technology like our redesigned mobile app, OneTripRefills program, and text messaging alerts.

These capabilities not only make it easier for patients to comply with their medication therapy, they also help us to operate more efficiently, freeing up time for our pharmacists to provide additional services like one-on-one counseling and truly becoming the trusted advisors. At the same time, one of our most immediate priorities had been to ensure we have stable economics for filling prescriptions. I’m pleased to report that we continue to make progress in engaging with our payer partners, and all major contracts have been signed for fiscal year 2019. We have better predictability on reimbursement rates and access, and, more importantly, our pharmacy margin improved quarter over quarter.

We’ve also begun having conversations with plan sponsors to potentially participate in additional Medicare Part D preferred network in calendar 2019. We’ve also initiated the process for finding the best long-term options for effectively managing our drug purchasing cost. As we build momentum in the pharmacy, we continue to remain highly focused on script growth, particularly through file buys and by further integrating our healthcare businesses into our retail network. As a reminder, we will fully cycle significant plan exclusions by the end of the second quarter and therefore expect same-store prescription count to be stronger in the back half of the fiscal year.

On our third-quarter call, we also discussed our significant progress with Medicare Part D enrollment for our PBM EnvisionRxOptions. Through these efforts, we added approximately 188,000 new lives year over year as of January. We continue to see strong enrollment for the lock-in period to date through April 1, 2018, and anticipate steady month-over-month growth through the remainder of the year. We continue to see increased script volume as a preferred pharmacy in Envision’s Medicare network.

Our commercial and health plan businesses are seeing early successes this selling season, with over 200,000 new lives already secured. We anticipate this sales momentum to continue as the year progresses, as RFP volume is up 20% compared to the same period in 2017. To capitalize on the growth in the PBM, we are also launching integrated marketing campaigns that leverage Envision’s PBM data and our wellness+ loyalty data aimed at driving Envision members to our stores. Specialty pharmacy continues to be an important opportunity in our go-forward strategy, and we have seen strong growth in this key area of our business.

Envision’s specialty revenue for the fourth quarter increased by 14% compared to the same period last year. We also are leveraging Health Dialog’s predictive analytic capabilities to identify the best opportunity to improve medication adherence for patients and deliver positive health outcomes, which enhances our value proposition in payer-driven performance networks. And finally, RediClinic continues to provide quality care in convenient retail settings. Our best-performing locations have historically been in grocery stores, and we see tremendous potential to expand this business through our proposed combination with Albertsons.

As I’ve said earlier, we made important progress during the fourth quarter, both in terms of our performance in key operational areas and the continued execution of our go-forward strategy. With a stronger network of stores and attractive positions in key markets, we have tremendous confidence in our strategy for the new Rite Aid. At the same time, we are excited about the potential to accelerate this strategy by combining with Albertsons to create a truly differentiated leader in food, health, and wellness. Thank you for your time.

Now I will turn it over to Darren Karst for more information on our financial results. Darren?

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

Thanks, Kermit, and good morning, everyone. Today, I will walk through our fourth-quarter financial results and review our fiscal 2019 guidance. I will also recap our progress on the WBA asset sale and the related use of proceeds as well as touch on the recent termination of our tax benefits preservation plan. As of March 27, we completed the sale and transfer of all 1,932 stores to WBA under the amended and restated asset-purchase agreement and received cash proceeds totaling nearly $4.2 billion.

This amount does not include about $220 billion that would be received after we sell the three distribution centers to WBA sometime after September 1, 2018. The proceeds received to date have been used to pay off all of our $970 million of term loans. We also completed a $900 million excess-proceeds offer, which resulted in an aggregate repayment of approximately $49 million under our 2020 notes, our 2021 notes, and our 2023 notes. That has freed up cash proceeds to allow us to call the remaining principal on our 9.25% bonds due 2020, which we expect to pay off today.

We also permanently reduced our revolver borrowing commitments from $3.7 billion to $3 billion to reflect our reduced borrowing needs. The receipt of proceeds and paydown of debt in the fourth quarter gave us a debt balance from continuing operations, net of cash, of about $2.9 billion as of year-end and a pro forma leverage ratio of 4.6 times. With the completion of the sale of stores to WBA, our board of directors terminated the tax benefits preservation plan that had been originally adopted on January 3, 2018, because it has effectively served its purpose. As a result of the plan, we protected approximately $2.2 billion of Rite Aid’s net operating losses.

I’ll now turn to a review of our fourth-quarter results, which reflect the stores that remain as part of continuing operations. Revenues for the fourth quarter were $5.4 billion, which was a decrease of $509 million from the prior-year fourth quarter. Excluding revenues of $312 million related to the extra week included in last year, total revenues decreased $197 million, or 3.5%. Net income for the total company was $767.1 million, or $0.73 per share, versus a net loss of $21.1 million, or $0.02 loss per share, in last year’s fourth quarter.

Net loss from continuing operations was $483.7 million, versus a net loss of $25.1 million in the prior year. The primary drivers of this difference were an income tax charge of $325 million relating to the revaluation of our deferred-tax asset as a result of the 2017 tax act and a goodwill-impairment charge of $191 million, net of tax. The effect of the goodwill-impairment charge was to adjust the book value of the pharmacy services segment to $2.1 billion, which is equal to the basis in the segment at the date of acquisition. Both of these charges were noncash charges.

Adjusted net loss in the current quarter was $10.3 million, or $0.01 loss per share, versus adjusted net income of $19.8 million, or $0.02 per share, in the prior year’s fourth quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was $157.4 million in the current quarter, compared to $167.6 million in the prior year’s quarter. Our results from continuing operations are fully burdened for corporate administration costs that support both continuing operations and discontinued operations. This is without regard to the fact that we will receive payments from WBA under our transition services agreement, or TSA, to cover a portion of our corporate administration costs.

Fiscal 2018 and fiscal 2017 quarterly results from continuing operations do not include $15.8 million and $24 million of fees, respectively, that would have been earned if all the stores sold to WBA were being supported under the TSA for the entire respective period. Pro forma adjusted EBITDA was $173.2 million, compared to $180.8 million in the prior year, adjusted in both periods for the full inclusion of TSA fees and adjusted to deduct the impact of the extra week on the prior-year results. This is a new metric that we are providing to provide greater comparability in our results. The decrease in adjusted EBITDA is primarily due to a decline in our — in EBITDA in our PBM.

In our retail pharmacy segment, our results improved year over year as we experienced some stabilization of pharmacy margins while maintaining control of our costs. Retail pharmacy segment revenue for the quarter was $4 billion, which was $135.6 million, or 3.3%, lower than last year’s fourth quarter, adjusted to deduct the impact of the extra week in last year’s results. The decrease was due to lower pharmacy and front-end sales. Overall, same-store sales decreased 1.7% in the quarter.

Front-end same-store sales decreased by 0.6%, while pharmacy same-store sales decreased by 2.3%. Pharmacy same-store script count was down 1.8% on a 30-day adjusted basis, which was caused, in part, by being excluded from certain pharmacy networks where we were able to participate in last year. Retail pharmacy segment adjusted EBITDA in the quarter was $124.1 million, or 3.1% of revenues, which was $1.1 million higher than last year’s fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $123 million. Total retail pharmacy segment gross-profit dollars in the quarter were $76.4 million lower than last year’s fourth quarter, but gross margin was 122 basis points higher as a percent of revenues.

Excluding gross profit of $82.8 million related to the extra week last year, gross profit increased $6.4 million. Adjusted EBITDA gross profit was unfavorable to last year’s fourth quarter by $91.9 million due to the extra week last year but 77 basis points better as a percent of revenues. The improvement in gross margin was due to improved generic-drug purchasing and a stabilization of reimbursement rates. Retail pharmacy segment SG&A expenses for the quarter were lower by $78.1 million compared to last year’s third — last year’s fourth quarter, while SG&A rate as a percent of sales increased by 100 basis points.

Excluding SG&A expenses of $75.1 million related to the extra week last year, SG&A was $3 million higher. Adjusted EBITDA SG&A was $92.7 million better than the prior year due to the extra week last year but 44 basis points worse, primarily due to the negative expense leverage from reduced sales. We did a good job of overall expense control but still lost some expense leverage due to our lower sales base. Adjusted EBITDA for the pharmacy services segment of $33.3 million was $11.3 million lower than last year’s fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $44.6 million.

The decrease is, in part, due to a reduction in revenue and an increase in SG&A expense as we invest for future growth. The pharmacy services segment had revenues of $1.4 billion, which was a decline of $65.4 million, or 4.3%, primarily due to a decline in commercial business and changes in the composition of our Medicare Part D membership. The changes in our Medicare Part D business is related to our strategic decision to reduce our participation within the low-income subsidy market in certain Medicare Part D regions in calendar 2017 and to focus instead on increasing our mix of chooser members, which we expect to be a more profitable book of business in the longer term. In the short run, this strategic shift is resulting in an investment of higher operating costs as we build increased chooser membership, but we think this is the right long-term move for our Medicare Part D business.

As we stated on our last earnings call, we had a very successful 2018 Medicare Part D bid and continue to see strong enrollments since January. We added approximately 188,000 lives year over year as of January 2018 and are now covering over 500,000 lives. We expect to grow this base of covered lives throughout the remainder of the year as we add enrollments throughout the course of calendar 2018. Our cash flow statement for the quarter shows a net source of cash from operating activities of $87 million, as compared to a use of $13.9 million in last year’s fourth quarter.

The difference is primarily due to reduced inventory and other working capital timing changes. Net cash used in investing activities for the quarter was $44.8 million, versus $53.5 million last year. During the fourth quarter, we remodeled 38 stores and relocated six stores. At the end of the quarter, we operated 1,651 wellness stores within our continuing operations, which is almost 65% of the store base.

For the fourth quarter, front-end same-store sales in our wellness stores that have been remodeled in the past 24 months were approximately 173 basis points higher than our non-wellness stores, and script growth in these stores was 259 basis points higher. During the quarter, we received proceeds of approximately $3.3 billion from the sale of 1,554 stores to WBA. These proceeds are shown as a source of cash from investing activities in discontinued operations on the cash flow statement. The related reduction in our revolver borrowings is shown as a use of cash from financing activities in discontinued operations.

As I mentioned earlier, our pro forma leverage ratio is 4.6 times. Now let’s turn to our fiscal 2019 guidance. Our guidance reflects our expectations for continued reimbursement rate pressure and generic-purchasing benefits as well as the continued anticipated benefits of our wellness remodel program and other initiatives to grow sales and drive operational efficiencies that Kermit covered earlier. Additionally, our guidance does not give effect to our pending merger with Albertsons.

We expect total sales to be between $21.7 billion and $22.1 billion and adjusted EBITDA to be between $615 million and $675 million for fiscal 2019. Same-store sales are expected to be in a range from staying flat at 0% to an increase of 1%. Key items that we expect to drive the improvement in comp-store sales include the cycling of plan exclusions in the second half of the year, clinical initiatives, and script file buys. As a result, we expect the first half of the year to lag these ranges somewhat and the back half of the year to be stronger.

We expect adjusted net income to be in a range of $18 million to $61 million and adjusted net income per share to be in a range of $0.02 to $0.06 per share for fiscal 2019. Our fiscal 2019 capital expenditure plan is to spend approximately $250 million, which includes $60 million for script file buys. We are planning to open two new stores, complete three relocations, and remodel 132 wellness stores in fiscal 2019. We also plan on closing 43 stores during the year.

That completes my portion of the presentation, and I would now like to turn it back to John. John?

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Darren. Before we begin taking questions, I’d like to thank our Rite Aid team for their extraordinary efforts during the quarter and as we begin a new fiscal year. The fourth quarter was a busy time for our organization, and from our leadership to our front-line associates, we’ve done a tremendous job of staying focused to meet our strategic priorities and deliver a consistently outstanding customer experience to our customers. In fact, during this busy time, overall customer satisfaction has increased this year compared to the previous, which is a testament to just how dedicated our teams are to exceeding the expectations of our customers.

That concludes our prepared remarks for this morning. We’ll now open up the phone lines for your questions.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

[Operator instructions] Your first question comes from Robert Jones from Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

Nathan RichGoldman Sachs — Analyst

Hi. This is Nathan Rich on for Bob this morning. Thanks for taking the questions. So I just wanted to start with reimbursement rates.

Definitely encouraging to hear that you guys have your major PBM contracts locked in for fiscal ’19. I’d assume those rates are now fully reflective of the new store footprint post the asset divestiture to Walgreens? So first, just wanted to get a sense of how those rates in the new contracts compare to your rates prior to the store divestitures. And then as we think about going forward, the larger pharmacy footprint that you’ll have following the combination with Albertsons, have you started to engage with PBMs and payers about what type of reimbursement rates and — will look like kind of following the close of the deal?

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

So I can answer the last part of the question first, which is no, and we can’t have any conversations with any partners about reimbursement rates until after the close of the deal. So that’s not something we can do until we get there. But Kermit, do you want to talk about the ’19 contracts?

Kermit CrawfordPresident and Chief Operating Officer

Sure. So, Nathan, I would tell you that our reimbursement has stabilized quarter over quarter, especially the last two quarters. And when we think about the new footprint, we are having as good or better results as we did before. If you think about the old Rite Aid, we were in certain markets where we were No.

3 or No. 4 in market share. And that really didn’t give us the kind of coverage that a payer needs. So when you think about the new footprint, we have concentration in our stores.

That could very well be enhanced with the Albertsons acquisition. And therefore, we feel very good about the contracts we have in place and our ability to continue to manage our reimbursement going forward.

Nathan RichGoldman Sachs — Analyst

OK. That’s helpful. And then maybe just one on the same-store sales guidance for ’19. You mentioned, I guess, cycling the exclusion from certain networks that impacted volumes in fiscal ’18.

I was wondering if you could just give us a sense of how much of a drag that actually was to your script volumes in fiscal ’18. And does the guidance for next year contemplate a return to positive script volumes, I guess, by the back half of the year?

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

So I think the — in terms of the impact, it’s a big piece of our decline currently, is network exclusions. That kind of got us to where we are in script count. It’s the biggest piece of that decline. In terms of the back half, Kermit?

Kermit CrawfordPresident and Chief Operating Officer

Yes. We would cycle those exclusions at the end of the second quarter. And I would tell you that the back half, we do anticipate positive prescription growth in the back half of our business.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of John Heinbockel from Guggenheim. Your line is open.

John HeinbockelGuggenheim Partners — Managing Director

So John, let me start with reimbursement environment, right, and getting these contracts done. I know in the past, your partners had exerted some pretty significant pressure on you. Do you think there has been a change — aside from your different footprint, a change in relationship, their approach? Because I think there had been some frustration, right, on your part about that pressure, particularly on generics. Is there now a different mindset in the dialogue you’re having with them, such that this stabilization or normalization, whatever you want to call it, is kind of here for the longer term?

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Tough question to answer. I mean, I think a couple of thoughts, John. I think 1) if I looked at others in my space and looked at their margin over the last couple of years, it has suffered as well. I mean, we kind of probably should expect sort of benchmark ourselves based on public information.

I think one of the frustrations on our side is that as that margin eroded, we really didn’t have some of the same opportunities, I think, to gain access to additional customers. That’s probably where it — the Walgreens merger overhang really manifested itself, I think, in our results. And in fact, we lost a couple of networks that we got to cycle our way around here. I don’t think that the reimbursement rate environment in the long term is going to be great.

We’re stable or whatever, I think it’s always a challenge. And when we talk about pharmacy margins stabilizing, we have some reimbursement rate loss, but Kermit and the team have also done a great job on the purchasing side. And as you know, our challenge is always trying to get those two things to match up. Can we find enough value on the purchasing side to offset what’s happening in the marketplace in terms of rate erosion? So rate erosion continues but not at the same rate right now that — in terms of what’s been contracted for fiscal ’19 that we saw in fiscal ’17 and 18.

So in that sense, it’s more stable. And we found some good value late last year going into this year that’s really helping us on the generic-purchasing side. As I look forward, I still see it as a very competitive marketplace with repayers who are close to 70% of our business who can still kind of at their whim exert a lot of influence over us. So it still remains a challenging environment.

But I do think, as Kermit just talked about, the kind of refocused store base, make the conversations a little clearer in terms of what our value is to their networks versus where I think it may have been a little bit muddled before. So in that sense, I think the conversations are a little bit better.

John HeinbockelGuggenheim Partners — Managing Director

Then maybe as a segue to that, right? And so as part of the Albertsons S-4, right, you have your long-range forecast out there, which are pretty robust. Maybe just high level. When you think about particularly growing the top line at those kind of rates, is that — that almost has to be driven by PBM growth as opposed to core retail. Or do you actually think your core retail can grow a lot faster than it has, maybe not just in the last year or two but even going back five years?

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. I think — we think there’s some growth opportunity for core retail, but the PBM is the bigger driver.

Operator

Your next question comes from Charles Rhyee from Cowen. Your line is open.

Charles RhyeeCowen & Company — Managing Director

Yes. Thanks for taking the questions. Just had a quick question around sort of — you mentioned that generic purchasing — generic purchase was positive in the quarter. Can you maybe elaborate a little bit more on that and discuss maybe your relationship with how — with McKesson at the moment and perhaps how those discussions have changed now with the Albertsons deal?

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. Well, I think Kermit can provide some color on generic purchasing in the quarter. In terms of where we are with McKesson, we’re having a conversation with them, as you’d expect, about how we can go forward. You probably have to ask McKesson their view on how the Albertsons transaction kind of stirs into that.

But from our perspective, it does, over time, give us more scale from a purchasing perspective, which we’re going to do our best to leverage as we go forward.

Kermit CrawfordPresident and Chief Operating Officer

And Charles, the only thing I’d add, I think our — the way we’re working with McKesson and payers were to date, if you think about the — from a McKesson point of view, they didn’t know if Rite Aid was going to be around as a part of the Walgreens deal. And now we’ve gotten back to having constructive conversations, understanding that we do have an option to enhance our purchasing. But we’re looking to find the best, most economic source for us to buy our drugs going forward, both brand and generic.[Crosstalk]

Charles RhyeeCowen & Company — Managing Director

OK. Is that — I’m sorry. Go ahead.

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

And I would just comment we do think there’s a potential purchasing synergy related to Albertsons down the line here when we can get to it.

Charles RhyeeCowen & Company — Managing Director

Right. OK. Thanks. And just another question.

You talked about the number of stores you relocated and new ones you’ve opened. Can you kind of remind us what sort of — how many stores do you see as opportunities for relocation? And how does that change now with Albertsons coming into the mix that — sort of what your strategy here is?

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

I don’t think it changes it dramatically. We still have — I don’t know, I don’t have the exact number off the top of my head, but we still have some stores we need to relocate. It’s still a good opportunity for us. We still have some stores that need to get to the wellness format.

We are working our way through the store base. So as we look at what’s left, it is a group of relocation opportunities, combined with remodel opportunities. But there’s some of both there for us still, some good returns to be made, some good investments to make.

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

Yes. I mean, the thing I would add is, we’ve got about 65% of the existing store base that are wellness stores. Probably by the time we get through fiscal — the current fiscal year, we’re probably closer to 70%. So a piece of that 30% is a relocation opportunity, so there are still some additional remodel opportunities.

So I think that we’ll get to that in due time.

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Right. And I think if you want to kind of layer Albertsons on top of it, I think what comes out of that is the opportunity to maybe get to some freestanding drugstores and some new markets as we move forward. So we get into some pretty exciting new geographies in Arizona, Texas, Chicago. There are some pretty compelling markets there for us to think about in terms of where we want to invest.

Charles RhyeeCowen & Company — Managing Director

OK, and that’s helpful. And maybe my last question. Can you remind us again? I remember you used to give metrics around the improvement in same-store sales from the new wellness format stores. Are those metrics still — would you say those are still relevant in terms of how we think about sort of the improvement in performance as you shift the format or relocate stores?

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

Yes. I think those are still relevant. I actually think I mentioned it in my comments. The front end, I think, was like 170-some basis points, and the script growth was about 250 basis points higher in the wellness stores than — versus the non-wellness stores.

And that’s been pretty consistent quarter over quarter.

Operator

Your next question comes from Ross Muken from Evercore. Your line is open.

Elizabeth AndersonEvercore ISI — Vice President

Hi. This is Elizabeth Anderson in for Ross. I was wondering if you could elaborate on some of your commentary in terms of the front end for fiscal ’19. I saw that obviously it stabilized sort of Q-over-Q, but I just wanted to sort of understand that outlook.

It would be helpful in giving that commentary on the script side.

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Well, we think we’re going to continue to benefit from additional investments in wellness stores. I know, Kermit, you mentioned, I think, in your talk in terms of wellness+ and the exciting things that we have.

Kermit CrawfordPresident and Chief Operating Officer

So I think there’s a number of things. We talked about cycling plans that we’ve been excluded from. We talked about other programs, other clinical programs like our immunization program. We had a hugely successful flu season last year.

We’re also doing very well on our non-flu immunizations, things like shingles and pneumonia and whooping cough. We have the ability to provide all 17 CDC-approved vaccinations in the states that allow it, so that helps to grow our business. Things like medication adherence, we’re working very closely with Health Dialog in our predictive analytics to drive better overall adherence. We’ve also done some technology improvements with our OneTripRefills and using our mobile app, so all of these things are driving better overall retention of our business and in our — and help script growth.

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

So as I kind of bridge that to the front end that the headwind of the front end, a piece of it has been — we’ve had some customer loss in the pharmacy, and those are pretty good front-end customers. So we’ve had a little bit of a headwind there. So as we come around the back half of the year and we cycle that impact, that puts us, I think, in a better position to show — to achieve some positive comps there. But again, wellness+ has got the BonusCash program that we’re launching.

We’re continuing to work on merchandising efforts. We’ve got the wellness stores. We’ve got, I think, a number of exciting things that we’re also working on in the front end of the store.

Elizabeth AndersonEvercore ISI — Vice President

OK, perfect. That’s really helpful. And then how are you thinking about retail SG&A going forward? Obviously, the store basis changed a little bit. It’s crept up as a percentage of sales.

So on a per sale — per-store basis, it just remained steadier. Is that something you’re looking to make sort of changes to? Are you sort of happy with levels of how things are now?

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. I mean, I think a couple — I’ll give you a couple of comments there. One is we deleveraged ourselves a little bit here with the top-line challenges. So as we get into the back half of the year and get some growth back in the sales, that will help a little bit in terms of a — as a percent.

I think on the dollar side, we’re always looking for ways to run our business more efficiently. And we’ve got some initiatives to work through this year on the cost side. We’ve done some things operationally in terms of how we provide supervision to the stores and field structure and things like that, that will benefit this fiscal year, but we’re also facing some headwinds in terms of wage rates. We’ve got some wage increases that we’ll see across various markets, and so we’ve got some things built into our plan for that as well.

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

There’s really nothing, nothing out of the ordinary, fairly consistent with the past, but we’ve definitely got some opportunities to continue take costs out of the system.

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Lisa Gill from J.P.Morgan. Your line is open.

Michael MinchakJ.P.Morgan — Vice President

It’s actually Mike Minchak in for Lisa. Thanks for taking the questions. So just, first, going back to the generic-purchasing efficiencies being a tailwind to fiscal ’19. From a timing standpoint, does that assume that you reached the decision with regards to drug-purchasing contracts at some point in fiscal ’19 and those economics have flowed through as it relates to that fiscal ’19 outlook? Or is that more of a fiscal 2020 opportunity? Just any color there you can provide will be helpful.

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

That’s more of a fiscal 2020 opportunity, yes.

Michael MinchakJ.P.Morgan — Vice President

Got it. And then PBM operating profit was down pretty significantly year over year. Can you talk about the main driver there? It seemed like it was more on the opex side versus our expectations. Just sort of a new run rate we should anticipate going forward.

Or is there some of those costs that can go away over time?

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. So I think there’s kind of two dynamics at work there. One, I think we talked a little bit about as we were kind of hanging around on the Walgreens deal, we had a tough selling season last year to put new lives into the PBM this year. I think people were just kind of waiting to understand what the future of the PBM was.

As we have come out of that overhang into this year’s selling season, we are — as we mentioned, I think, on our talk here a few moments ago, we’re seeing some very robust pipeline activity and some early wins that are very encouraging coming out of the gate, obviously with no assurances in terms of how the selling season will finish out, but we are off to a very strong start in the selling season. And accordingly, we have built a lot of additional infrastructure at Envision for growth and also to improve compliance and customer service and a number of things as we’ve invested in the asset. So we are carrying some SG& in there, but we think it’s important SG&A to help us grow the business and provide the level of service that’s going to help differentiate us in the marketplace. So I think if we work our way through this fiscal year on a year-over-year basis, the PBM will be under a little bit of pressure, but we hope to show that we’re getting lives that will drive revenue in the following year.

So it’s really an investment for next year.

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

And we built all that into our overall guidance.

Operator

Your next question comes from George Hill from RBC. Your line is open.

George HillRBC Capital Markets — Managing Director

Hey, good morning, guys. I think a lot of my kind of housekeeping questions have been answered. John, I wanted to ask about how are you guys thinking about how — I guess how dynamic that market’s been the last several months and I guess the role that clinics are going to play in the combined company going forward given the vertical industry tie-ups that we’re seeing? And then I’ve got a quick follow-up on the PBM.

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. It’s definitely a very, I think, dynamic period of time in the industry. The big takeaway for me from a lot of this, and I think I’ve mentioned it before, is just I think a realization of the value that we create in terms of how we interact with customers and patients every day. A lot of the value that we create manifests itself somewhere down the line based on whoever’s taking risk on the life.

Clearly, there’s a lot of focus on access to lives with a lot of this consolidation in the marketplace. And so I think it’s not only important that we have PBM, but it’s also important that we’re a great partner as we move forward here for payers and others who own lives. And so I think the clinics do play a critical role in that in combination with other pharmacies. We have an outstanding opportunity at Albertsons there.

There’s a lot of clinic space that actually aren’t built out at Albertsons. And so as we bring the transaction to a close, we’re going to have opportunity fairly quickly. We’ll have to do a little bit of work on that space, but we’ll be able to get some additional clinics open and really grow our clinic business, gain access to new customers and have, I think, an important lever in discussions or an important capability in discussions with various partners as we go forward.

George HillRBC Capital Markets — Managing Director

OK. That’s helpful. And then I guess as we think about the PBM business and I say if we assume that the deals that we see in the market come to close, where do you think becomes the niche for the Envision PBM business? And I guess do you think of it more as a government-facing PBM business? Or is — or are there specific niches on the commercial side? Or do you feel like you can exploit and the companies got a chance to take market share given the — given kind of what we’re seeing in the market?

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. So our niche today is really kind of more, I’d say, primarily in the midsize market. We win and compete very effectively for health plans and commercial business in that space, and I think that market is still very much available to us. I think there’s going to be a lot of clients who don’t want to have — necessarily have bundled healthcare insurance and pharmacy coverage in the same plan.

So I think there’s going to be a number of health plans who will potentially look at these big aggregated entities and say, “Well, I think I’d rather be independent from them in terms of how I go to market.” So I think there’s going to be lots of spots here for us to be very competitive in the marketplace and differentiate ourselves in terms of the fact that we’re a fully capable, freestanding, kind of unaffiliated, if you will, PBM in the marketplace.

Operator

Your next question comes from William Reuter from Bank of America. Your line is open.

William ReuterBank of America Merrill Lynch — Analyst

Good morning. When I look at your guidance for 2019 adjusted EBITDA, it’s relatively flattish year over year. I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about the puts and takes between the retail side and the pharmacy-services side of the business. And I guess which one maybe we might expect growth versus declines in?

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

Yes. I guess the pharmacy-services business is down a little bit, and the — in general, the retail business is up a little bit. So that’s probably the mix between those two things. We’ve got a little bit of the sales growth, obviously, built into the retail side of the business, so that’s helpful in terms of driving profitability in that part of the business.

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

It’s an important year for us to not only show, I think, some stability from an earnings perspective but as we get to the back half of the year to show growth. That’s really the thing in this guidance that’s critical.

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

Right. And to some — the pharmacy-services business is a little bit of a building year.

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Exactly.

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

And we’ve talked about how we’re off to a pretty good start in the selling season, so we expect that to kind of grow over the year. And really, we’re probably looking beyond that into the following year as a significant kind of growth year.

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Manifest itself in 2020 what we get done this year.

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

Yes.

William ReuterBank of America Merrill Lynch — Analyst

Right. Yes. No, it sounds like, long term, that’s certainly where you guys believe the opportunity is and even in 2020 as well. OK.

And then in terms of the sale proceeds from the DCs which will be in the fall of this year, do you have thoughts on what you might be using that $220 million for?

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

Well, I mean, the original intent was to continue to just repay that. So I don’t think we have a different viewpoint on that at this point.

William ReuterBank of America Merrill Lynch — Analyst

OK. And then just lastly, earlier, you mentioned that the reimbursement rate pressures that you’re going to experience this year will not be as much as 2017 and 2018. I don’t have a sense at all for just what type of quantification of that we’re talking about. Is there anything you can provide in terms of what it was in ’17 and ’18 or what you expect for 2019?

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

I mean, I guess, what I would just tell you is we see a more stable margin environment this year where we saw substantial declines the last two years. That’s probably the best way you can go look at it.

William ReuterBank of America Merrill Lynch — Analyst

OK. But in terms of numbers, there’s nothing that you guys have talked about or that you could provide to us?

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

No. I would just say if you looked at our EBITDA declines the last couple of years, it’s very much driven by the decline in reimbursement rates that we’ve seen. So if you want to quantify the impact, that’s the single biggest driver of the pressure we’ve seen on EBITDA.

Operator

Your next question comes from Joe Stauff from Susquehanna Investments. Your line is open.

Joseph StauffSusquehanna International Group — Analyst

I wanted to ask — just I realize this is an earnings call specifically to Rite Aid. But as you know, your stock, obviously, is geared to the value of the pro forma company. And as a result of that, I think there is certainly some difficulty looking just how your stock has behaved since sort of the announcement. There is some difficulty getting your hands around basically the entire organization, that is investors.

And I was wondering when or what you guys plan to do to really try to make the case with respect to the pro forma company and the benefits and how that accrues or gears into the stock.

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So I mean, I think a couple of thoughts. I mean, one is, as you know, we’re working our way through a process here. So we have got an S-4 on file which has a lot of great information, I think, about the combined company included in it.

We’ve got some great investor information on our website. Now that we have all the information with this earnings release year kind of in the marketplace, we’ll be doing our work kind of on the investor relations side here to kind of get out and tell our story in terms of the value this creates for our shareholders and why we believe this makes sense. And so we’ll be doing some work here over the next couple of months to do that.

Joseph StauffSusquehanna International Group — Analyst

OK. And I guess the expected close for the transaction, I know you’ve historically said end of the summer. Let’s say for illustration, it’s September 1. Would the shareholder vote effectively then be, say, planned in mid- to late July? Or would you expect that to occur earlier?

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

So I mean, in terms of process here, we’ve got an S-4 on file. It goes through a review process. We will have to update that document as our numbers get stale. Some were probably already stale.

Some are getting stale. So we’re going to get — we’ve got to get a 10-K filed, which will get done here in the next couple of weeks. We’ll update that S-4 and refile it with those numbers. And once cleared by the SEC, we can then move to proxy phase, get a proxy printed and sent out.

And we’ve got a waiting period for everybody to have a chance to review the proxy and whatnot. And so just when you sort of time the whole thing out, yes, that shareholder vote is probably out in July somewhere, just roughly, depending on how things sort of play out. We can close once the shareholder vote is done.

Operator

And your final question today will come from Carla Casella from J.P.Morgan. Your line is open.

Carla CasellaJ.P.Morgan — Managing Director

Hi. Can you hear me all right?

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yes.

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

Yes.

Carla CasellaJ.P.Morgan — Managing Director

OK, great. You talked about debt paydown with all of the asset sale proceeds. Can you give us any more color on the timing of the 2021 or ’23 notes and whether those ’23 notes would be refinanced even if Albertsons deal were not to close?

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

Yes. So we probably will be, in the not-too-distant future, going out with another asset sale proceeds offer because we still have some asset sale proceeds. So that’s something that I suspect you can expect. But beyond that, I don’t think we’re really commenting on what we’re doing in terms of paying off those other two securities.

Carla CasellaJ.P.Morgan — Managing Director

OK, great. And then the DC transfer. If you start that September 1, is that something that takes like a month? Or is that a six-month? How long is that process, typically?

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

Well, what we’ve said is that we expect that after September of 2018. It’s really up to WBA when they are prepared to take those DCs, and so it could technically — I think somebody referred to it occurring in fall. It may or may not happen in fall. It’s just we have publicly said is after September, so it could be several months or even longer than that.

And I don’t think they all have to go as one or one at a time.

Carla CasellaJ.P.Morgan — Managing Director

And the store closures, are those weighted to more the front or end of the — or back half of the year? And I’m assuming they’re all at lease-renewal period.

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

They’re more in the front of the year, Carla. And I think it’s a combination of renewal period and maybe some opportunistic closures in the portfolio.

Carla CasellaJ.P.Morgan — Managing Director

OK. And then you gave a pro forma, or you gave a tax estimate in your guidance, but did you give a tax rate that you expect going forward?

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

So I think the cash taxes be very minimal going forward, Carla. From a rate standpoint, I think it’s probably something closer to kind of a standard marginal rate. So —

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

It can get bounced around.

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

Yes. But it can get bounced around. I’m a little hesitant to give you an exact number. Definitely, I think our rate is probably 28%, 30%, but it can bounce around because of discrete item, right? And our — probably the more relevant item is our cash taxes, which is in the range of about $10 million to $15 million.

We still have an NOL left even after all the sales.

Carla CasellaJ.P.Morgan — Managing Director

OK. That’s helpful. And then just one clarification. You got some questions already on the pharmacy purchasing.

What’s the timing on a decision to use either the Walgreens network or renegotiating with McKesson?

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Well, our McKesson agreement goes through March of 2019. So unless we’re going to reup with McKesson, we probably won’t be making the change until after the McKesson contract expires.

Carla CasellaJ.P.Morgan — Managing Director

OK, great. And then one last housekeeping. Do you have an estimate or approximately a pro forma rent expense after you’ve sold all of the stores to Walgreens?

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

Got that?

Darren KarstChief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

Yes. I don’t even have it at the top of my head. I mean, that, honestly, will be in our 10-K. When we file in a couple of weeks, we’ll have it.

And actually, we have a recast 10-K that we put out there with — along with the S-4, that has rent from continuing operations. So I think that number, if you go to that footnote, will give you a pretty decent idea.

Carla CasellaJ.P.Morgan — Managing Director

Oh, right. OK. Sorry, I missed that.

John T. StandleyChairman and Chief Executive Officer

OK, great. Well, thanks, everybody, for joining us this morning. We appreciate it. Thank you.

Operator

[Operator signoff]

Duration: 66 minutes

Call Participants:

Matt Shroeder — Senior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer and Treasurer

John T. Standley — Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Kermit Crawford — President and Chief Operating Officer

Darren Karst — Chief Financial Officer and Chief Administrative Officer

Nathan Rich — Goldman Sachs — Analyst

John Heinbockel — Guggenheim Partners — Managing Director

Charles Rhyee — Cowen & Company — Managing Director

Elizabeth Anderson — Evercore ISI — Vice President

Michael Minchak — J.P.Morgan — Vice President

George Hill — RBC Capital Markets — Managing Director

William Reuter — Bank of America Merrill Lynch — Analyst

Joseph Stauff — Susquehanna International Group — Analyst

Carla Casella — J.P.Morgan — Managing Director

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This article is a transcript of this conference call produced for The Motley Fool. While we strive for our Foolish Best, there may be errors, omissions, or inaccuracies in this transcript. As with all our articles, The Motley Fool does not assume any responsibility for your use of this content, and we strongly encourage you to do your own research, including listening to the call yourself and reading the company’s SEC filings. Please see our Terms and Conditions for additional details, including our Obligatory Capitalized Disclaimers of Liability.

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