FILE PHOTO: A man wearing a facial mask, following the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, stands in front of an electric board showing Nikkei (top in C) and other countries stock index outside a brokerage at a business district in Tokyo, Japan, January 4, 2021. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo
December 8, 2021
By Elizabeth Howcroft
LONDON (Reuters) – A rebound in market sentiment continued in early European trading on Wednesday, with world shares set for their biggest two-day jump since November last year as investors became less concerned about the Omicron variant.
World shares plunged at the end of last month when the discovery of a new COVID-19 variant spooked investors. But sentiment has rebounded sharply this week in the absence of indications that the variant would derail the economic recovery.
The STOXX 600 had its biggest daily jump since November 2020 on Tuesday and, despite European stock index futures initially being in the red on Wednesday, at 0901 GMT the STOXX 600 was up 0.4%, set for its third consecutive day of gains.
The MSCI world equity index, which tracks shares in 50 countries, was up 0.2% – its highest since Nov. 26, when Omicron fears first hit markets.
“To be honest, it was more the absence of bad news rather than any concrete good news helping to drive sentiment,” wrote Deutsche Bank strategist Jim Reid in a note to clients.
“Every day that passes without a wave of severe cases driven by Omicron is offering more hope that this won’t be the curveball to throw the recovery off course.”
British drugmaker GSK said on Tuesday its antibody-based COVID-19 therapy with U.S. partner Vir Biotechnology was effective against all mutations of Omicron.
But a study in South Africa suggested that the Pfizer vaccine may only partly protect against Omicron.
“Clearly in the very short term uncertainty has risen over the Omicron virus… but overall at this stage we do not believe it will derail the macro picture in the medium-term,” said Jeremy Gatto, multi-asset portfolio manager at Unigestion.
OUTLOOK FOR RATES
Oil prices eased as investors waited for more information about the extent to which the variant would impact demand. At 0911 GMT, Brent crude futures were down 0.4% and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was down 0.5% on the day.
The dollar index was steady around 96.233, while the euro was up 0.1% at $1.1283.
The euro-dollar pair has struggled to recover from the 2021 lows it reached in November, hurt by expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will tighten monetary policy more quickly than the dovish European Central Bank.
Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said it might be time to stop seeing inflation as transitory, suggesting the central bank could speed up tapering.
“The market is pricing between two to three hikes next year now. We think that that pricing is too optimistic. We believe that the Fed will actually be slower to deliver on these rate hikes,” said Unigestion’s Gatto, adding that this would be supportive for equities.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, which had its biggest weekly drop since June 2020 last week due to a combination of Powell’s hawkish comments and fears over Omicron, was a touch lower on Wednesday at 1.4597%.
U.S. inflation data is due on Friday.
Meanwhile, shares in China’s Evergrande Group hit a record low, after a missed debt payment deadline put the developer at risk of becoming the country’s biggest defaulter – but the news had limited global market impact because it is already “well-priced” by the market, Unigestion’s Gatto said.
In virtual talks, President Joe Biden warned Russian President Vladimir Putin that the West would impose “strong economic and other measures” on Russia if it invaded Ukraine, while Putin demanded guarantees that NATO would not expand farther eastward.
(Reporting by Elizabeth Howcroft; Editing by Alex Richardson)