Gold gains as Fed rate cut bets hold, growth concerns linger

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Gold snaps 4-day win streak ahead of Fed meeting

RBC Wealth Management managing director George Gero, The Price Futures Group’s Phil Flynn and T3 Trading Group’s Scott Redler on the recent decline in Gold and the Fed’s upcoming meeting.

Gold firmed above $1,400 an ounce on Monday, helped by expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve would stay on course with an interest rate cut this month despite robust U.S. jobs data and as global growth concerns linger.

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Spot gold was up 0.4 percent at $1,404.48 per ounce at 1100 GMT. U.S. gold futures climbed 0.5 percent to $1,407.5 an ounce.

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“The Fed is likely to cut interest rates as early as this month and in that environment, gold as a non-yielding asset ought to do better and would be more attractive to investors in a world of lower interest rates,” said Mitsubishi analyst Jonathan Butler.

The forecast-beating job gains ended the chances for a steep Fed rate cut at its July 30-31 meeting, although modest wage gains and other data showing the world’s largest economy was losing steam, meant the central bank was still expected to cut rates by a quarter point.

Monday’s gains, helped in part by subdued global stocks, helped gold recover slightly from a more than 1 percent decline on Friday following the U.S. jobs data.

“The resilience of bullion, which was able to quickly recover above $1,400 despite better than expected U.S. data, is confirming the huge interest of investors for gold in this scenario,” Carlo Alberto De Casa, chief analyst with ActivTrades, wrote in a note.

“The psychological threshold of $1,400 is now working as a support, while $1,440 is the new key resistance level.”

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is expected to provide further cues on the near-term outlook for monetary policy this week at his semi-annual testimony to the U.S. Congress on the economy.

A rate cut by the Fed could also prompt China’s central bank to cut its benchmark policy rate for the first time in four years to support a slowing economy, analysts say, joining other major economies in easing monetary policy.

Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion and weigh on the dollar, making gold cheaper for investors holding other currencies.

“We’ve got a period of heightened concern around global growth at the moment, which makes gold seem an attractive option as diversifier,” said Capital Economics analyst Ross Strachan.

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Meanwhile, holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, fell 0.18 percent to 796.97 tons on Friday from 798.44 tons on Wednesday.

Among other precious metals, silver gained 0.6 percent to $15.06 per ounce, while palladium was steady at $1,566.40 and platinum rose 1 percent to $812.74 per ounce.

(Reporting by Eileen Soreng in Bengaluru; editing by David Evans)

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