Asian shares turn higher after positive China data

FAN Editor
Passersby are reflected on a stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo
FILE PHOTO: Passersby are reflected on a stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan, August 6, 2019. REUTERS/Issei Kato

November 1, 2019

By Andrew Galbraith

SHANGHAI (Reuters) – Asian shares reversed early losses on Friday as an unexpected bounce in Chinese manufacturing activity offset some negativity cast by a Bloomberg news report that raised doubts over whether the United States and China can reach a long-term trade deal.

Factory activity in China expanded at its fastest pace in more than two years in October as export orders and production rose, a private business survey showed on Friday.

The expansion, which beat expectations and contrasted with the dour results of an official survey Thursday, helped to boost Chinese blue chips <.CSI300>, which rose 0.7%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng <.HSI> added 0.3% and Seoul’s Kospi <.KS11> rose 0.42%.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan <.MIAPJ0000PUS> reversed early losses to add 0.16%, having hit three-month highs on Thursday.

The index’s performance reflected a results season that has shown companies to be more resilient than expected, said Jim McCafferty, head of Equity Research, Asia ex-Japan at Nomura.

“If you look at the micro data supplied by the companies, then it tells you that customers … are continuing to do business. So I think that we are in a better state than perhaps investors thought we were just one month ago,” he said.

Earlier on Friday, losses had mirrored falls in global stock markets, as MSCI’s gauge of equity performance in 47 countries <.MIWD00000PUS> fell from 20-month highs after a report that cast doubt on the likelihood of a U.S.-China trade deal.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average <.DJI> fell 0.52%, the S&P 500 <.SPX> lost 0.30% and the Nasdaq Composite <.IXIC> dropped 0.14%.

Efforts by Washington and Beijing to end their bruising nearly 16-month trade war appeared on track as U.S. President Donald Trump said on Thursday said that the two sides would soon announce a new venue for the signing of a “Phase One” trade deal after Chile cancelled a planned summit set for mid-November.

Optimism was dampened by a Bloomberg report citing unnamed Chinese officials airing doubts over whether a comprehensive long-term trade deal is possible.

China’s doubts were “not entirely unexpected”, Greg McKenna, strategist at McKenna Macro, said in a morning note to clients, noting that the falls in equity markets were relatively small.

Retreats in the S&P 500 and the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield indicated some technical resistance in the market, he said.

“Either way, today’s deluge of manufacturing PMI’s and then U.S. non-farm (payrolls) tonight will be an important factor in where markets head next,” McKenna said.

The Institute for Supply Management is due to release data from its survey of purchasing managers on Friday. A separate PMI survey released Thursday by the Chicago Fed <USCPMI=ECI> showed a sharper contraction in midwestern manufacturing activity for October.

The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes <US10YT=RR> was higher at 1.6962% compared with its U.S. close of 1.691% on Thursday. The two-year yield <US2YT=RR>, sensitive to market expectations of Federal Reserve policy, was at 1.5319%, up from a U.S. close of 1.526%.

The Fed cut interest rates for a third time this year on Wednesday to help sustain U.S. growth, but signalled there would be no further reductions unless the economy takes a turn for the worse.

In the currency market, the dollar was a touch stronger than the safe-haven yen, adding 0.01% to 108.03 <JPY=>.

The euro <EUR=> was 0.14% higher on the day at $1.1166, while the dollar index <.DXY>, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major rivals, was down 0.14% at 97.216 on the day.

U.S. crude <CLc1> ticked up 0.33% to $54.36 a barrel and Brent crude <LCOc1> rose 0.13% to $59.70 per barrel.

Spot gold <XAU=> eased 0.15% to $1,510.94 per ounce.

(Reporting by Andrew Galbraith; Editing by Jacqueline Wong & Simon Cameron-Moore)

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